N S W E
CRABZILLA//ORBITAL weather · signal · station
engine LIVE

[Weather] is a signal.
We decode it._

A weather-probability station for Polymarket. It doesn't pitch — it transmits.

Read protocols ↗
No luck. Just data.
// control.deck · 5 surfaces
verification required
live
Dashboard
pnl, open book, strategy cohorts, whale tape
5 sections1.2s p95
live
Observability
pipeline health, cron deltas, quality traces
42 crons99.7% uptime
live
Trade Lifecycle
per-trade narrative · entry, adds, exits, resolve
1,072 closed26 open
beta
Whale Profiler
wallet-level fills, pnl reconstruction, cohorts
896K rows925K markets
live
Backtest
walk-forward on 5M fills, bootstrap CIs
5.1M fills0.891 AUC
station.telemetry · transmitting…
auto-refresh · 30s
model
v4.8
XGB + Isotonic
win rate
—
on — resolved
nwp blend
6
ECMWF · GFS · ICON · GEM · UKMO · MF
paper book
—
— open
auc
—
walk-forward · bootstrap
cities
—
active stations · 24h
A forecast you can price is worth more
than a forecast you can publish.
log · 2026-02-14 · the day the engine shipped
// 01protocols.yml

Three protocols. Zero exceptions.

Every signal the station transmits is run against these. When they stop holding, we rewrite them in the open.

01
protocol · 0x01
The forecast is the signal.
Six NWP models blended into one calibrated probability. When the ensemble disagrees, size shrinks — never zero. Uncertainty priced.
02
protocol · 0x02
Edge before the event.
Signals fire T−24h → T−2h. We disagree with consensus before the print arrives, not after.
03
protocol · 0x03
Paper before capital.
Every strategy runs 250 paper trades before a single live dollar moves. Both books ship publicly.